A risk trigger is a specific event or condition that signals that a risk is about to occur or has occurred. PMBOK® Guide clarifies:

"Risk triggers (sometimes called warning signs) are indicators or symptoms that a risk event is about to occur. The risk register should include identified triggers for each risk."

— PMBOK® Guide, 6th Edition, Section 11.2.3.1

Thus, documenting the specific event or condition (such as the supplier missing a delivery deadline) is the correct approach.

The risk manager should conduct a risk planning workshop with senior management and other key stakeholders to review the risk management plan, the risk register, and the contingency reserves. The risk manager should explain the purpose and benefits of contingency reserves, and how they are calculated and allocated based on the risk exposure of the project. The risk manager should also discuss the potential impact of removing or reducing the contingency reserves on the project objectives, scope, schedule, cost, and quality. The risk manager should facilitate a collaborative decision-making process to reach a consensus on the best course of action for the project. References: PMI, The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, 2019, p. 77-78, 92-93.

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline1, one of the tasks in the domain of Risk Response is to recommend risk response strategies based on the risk appetite and tolerance of the organization and stakeholders1. One of the strategies for negative risks or threats is risk acceptance, which involves acknowledging the existence of a threat and making a conscious decision to accept it without taking any action2. In this scenario, the risk manager should recommend risk acceptance for the risk items that would be detrimental to project success, but the associated triggers cannot be managed by the organization and are unlikely to occur. Risk acceptance is appropriate when the risk exposure is low, the cost of other responses is high, or the risk response is outside the scope or influence of the project3. The risk manager should not recommend risk mitigation, which involves reducing the probability and/or impact of a threat2. The risk manager should not recommend risk enhancement, which is a strategy for positive risks or opportunities, not negative risks or threats2. The risk manager should not recommend risk exploitation, which is also a strategy for positive risks or opportunities, not negative risks or threats2. References: 1: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline, page 102: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 4363: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 437.

The Delphi technique is a structured communication process designed to build consensus among a group of experts and stakeholders when opinions differ and a quantitative assessment is needed. It uses rounds of anonymous input and feedback, allowing experts to refine their views based on others' anonymous contributions. This approach is especially useful when stakeholders are in disagreement and objective quantification of risk is required.

PMBOK® Guide Extract:

“The Delphi technique is a way to reach a consensus of experts. Project risk experts participate in this technique anonymously. A facilitator uses a questionnaire to solicit ideas about the important project risks. The responses are summarized and recirculated to the experts for further comment. Consensus may be reached in a few rounds of this process. The Delphi technique helps reduce bias in the data and keeps any one person from having undue influence on the outcome.”

— PMBOK® Guide, 6th Edition, Section 11.2.2.4

ISO 31000 Reference:

“Facilitated workshops and expert elicitation techniques, such as the Delphi method, can help achieve an objective and consensus-based understanding of complex risks.”

— ISO 31000:2018, Section 6.4.2

In this scenario, since the stakeholders are in disagreement and the project involves complex, location-specific disaster recovery requirements, the Delphi technique (Option D) is the officially recommended approach to achieving consensus and quantifying risk.

After gathering cycle time data, the risk manager should perform a risk data quality assessment to ensure the data is accurate, reliable, and relevant for evaluating the current process and the new software.

 A risk data quality assessment is a technique to evaluate the degree to which the data about risks is useful and accurate for risk management. It involves examining the reliability, credibility, accuracy, and validity of the data collected. A risk data quality assessment can help the risk manager to determine the confidence level of the risk analysis and the quality of the risk responses. Performing a risk data quality assessment is the next logical step after gathering the cycle time data, as it will help to ensure that the data is suitable for further analysis and decision making. References: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Examination Content Outline and Specifications1, page 9; A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 397.

The risk manager should first check the risk register for proper risk classification, probability, and impact (C), as these are essential components of an effective risk management process. Next, the risk manager should ensure that the risk origin, triggering events, and ownership are identified (D), as this information helps in assigning responsibilities and taking appropriate actions for each risk. References to these steps can be found in the Project Management Institute's (PMI) A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide), Sixth Edition.

 The risk manager should check for risk classification and that probability and impact are identified, as these are essential elements of a risk register. Risk classification helps to group risks into categories based on their sources, types, or impacts, which can facilitate risk analysis and response planning. Probability and impact are the two dimensions of risk assessment, which help to measure the likelihood and severity of a risk event, and to prioritize risks based on their significance. The risk manager should also check to ensure that risk origin, triggering event, and ownership is identified, as these are also important components of a risk register. Risk origin refers to the root cause or source of a risk, which can help to understand the nature and characteristics of a risk, and to devise effective risk responses. Triggering event is a specific occurrence or condition that indicates that a risk event has occurred or is about to occur, which can help to monitor and control risks. Ownership is the assignment of a risk to a person or a group who is responsible for managing the risk, which can help to ensure accountability and communication. The risk manager should not check to ensure that the risk is supported by a Monte Carlo simul-ation, as this is not a mandatory or universal requirement for a risk register. Monte Carlo simul-ation is a quantitative risk analysis technique that uses computer-generated random scenarios to model the possible outcomes of a project, based on the probability distributions of the input variables. While this technique can provide useful information about the overall project risk exposure and the probability of achieving project objectives, it is not a necessary or sufficient condition for an effective risk register. The risk manager should not check to ensure that the risks are gathered using Delphi technique, as this is also not a compulsory or exclusive requirement for a risk register. Delphi technique is a qualitative risk identification technique that uses a panel of experts to anonymously provide their opinions on potential risks, which are then aggregated and refined through a series of rounds until a consensus is reached. While this technique can help to elicit expert judgment and reduce bias, it is not the only or the best way to identify risks. The risk manager should not check to ensure the risk meeting agenda and supporting documents are distributed, as this is not a relevant or appropriate action for analyzing the effectiveness of a risk register. The risk meeting agenda and supporting documents are part of the risk management plan, which describes how the project team will conduct risk management activities, such as identifying, analyzing, responding, and monitoring risks. The risk meeting agenda and supporting documents are useful for planning and conducting risk meetings, but they are not part of the risk register, which is the output of the risk identification process and the input for the risk analysis and response processes. References: PMI. (2017). A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition. Chapter 11: Project Risk Management, pp. 395-454. 5

The full risk description is the first thing that the risk manager should complete before moving forward with the risk response planning. The full risk description is a detailed statement that describes the risk, its causes, its effects, and its context. It provides the basis for the risk analysis and the risk response planning. The risk categorization, the risk simul-ation, and the risk response plan are possible steps that the risk manager may take after completing the full risk description, but they are not the first thing to do. References: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Exam Content Outline1, PMI Practice Standard for Project Risk Management2, Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Cert Guide3